France vs Spain Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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The key duel: Spain's attack against France's back line.
A FIFA World Cup fixture between France and Spain. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
Kylian Mbappé has been France's spearhead, with 25 goals and 5 assists in 31 appearances, averaging 2.03 shots on target per game. Lamine Yamal has been Spain's main threat, with 16 goals and 11 assists in 28 appearances, averaging 1.32 shots on target per game.
A razor-thin margin: France at 0%, but the draw sits at 0%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. France average 2.7 goals per game and Spain manage 1.8. Combined that's just 4.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
France are in great shape right now, banging in 2.7 a game and only letting in 0.3. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back. Spain are similarly well-balanced. 1.8 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides. Both sides keep clean sheets regularly. This could be a tight, low-block affair where the first goal is decisive.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | France Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Spain Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
France vs Spain kicks off on Tuesday 14 July 2026 at 20:00 in the FIFA World Cup.