Projected from club-season form — informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only — informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Bodo/Glimt know what's at stake — and so do Fredrikstad.
A Eliteserien fixture between Bodo/Glimt and Fredrikstad. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
S. Fet has been Bodo/Glimt's spearhead — 4 goals and 1 assists in 12 appearances, averaging 0.75 shots on target per game. Whoever leads Fredrikstad's line will have a job on against that profile.
A razor-thin margin: Bodo/Glimt at 0%, but the draw sits at 0%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine. We're calling it 0-0.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Bodo/Glimt create chances worth 2.9 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +1.8 a game on the balance. Fredrikstad create 1.1 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.5. The underlying numbers clearly favour Bodo/Glimt. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. A worry for Bodo/Glimt: the chances they're creating lately are worth 2.4 a game, well below their 2.9 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Bodo/Glimt average 0.0 goals per game and Fredrikstad manage 1.3. Combined that's just 1.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Bodo/Glimt and Fredrikstad together create chances worth 4.0 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Bodo/Glimt do it the hard way — only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Bodo/Glimt Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Fredrikstad Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture — our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up — check back closer to kick-off.
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 18:15 in the Eliteserien.