Form, fitness, fine margins. Ham-Kam and Tromso meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
Ham-Kam take on Tromso in the Eliteserien. Let's break down what our data says about this one.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Ham-Kam will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Tromso travel with the same brief — find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Marginal call: Ham-Kam at just 0%. With the draw at 0%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for Ham-Kam, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe. Our most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Ham-Kam create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Tromso create 2.1 (giving up 1.0) for a balance of +1.1. On the quality of chances, Tromso look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Ham-Kam average 0.0 goals per game and Tromso manage 1.7. Combined that's just 1.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Ham-Kam and Tromso together create chances worth 3.6 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Ham-Kam do it the hard way — only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Ham-Kam Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Tromso Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture — our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up — check back closer to kick-off.
Ham-Kam vs Tromso kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 13:00 in the Eliteserien.