A test of nerve as much as quality when Bahia welcome Chapecoense-sc.
Bahia welcome Chapecoense-sc in the Brasileirão Série A. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Bahia will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Chapecoense-sc travel with the same brief — find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
A razor-thin margin: Bahia at 0%, but the draw sits at 0%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine. Our most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Bahia average 1.3 goals per game and Chapecoense-sc manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Chapecoense-sc prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Bahia against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Bahia Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Chapecoense-sc Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture — our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up — check back closer to kick-off.
Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 23:30 in the Brasileirão Série A.