Form, fitness, fine margins. Orgryte IS and Djurgardens IF meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
Orgryte IS welcome Djurgardens IF in the Allsvenskan. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Orgryte IS will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Djurgardens IF travel with the same brief — find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Too close to call with any conviction. Orgryte IS edge it at 0% but a draw (0%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with. Our most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
Orgryte IS will be looking to make home advantage count (W1 D0 L0 at home). Djurgardens IF's away record reads W7 D3 L5. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. One thing to keep in mind about Orgryte IS. They're scoring 1.5 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.2. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+1.8) — that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Orgryte IS create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 2.6), leaving them -1.4 a game on the balance. Djurgardens IF create 1.7 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.5. On the quality of chances, Djurgardens IF look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Orgryte IS are scoring 1.5 goals a game off chances worth just 1.2. That's +1.8 more than the chances suggest — finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Orgryte IS average 1.5 goals per game and Djurgardens IF manage 1.7. Combined that's just 3.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Orgryte IS Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Djurgardens IF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up — check back closer to kick-off.
Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 18:00 in the Allsvenskan.