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Three points on the line and a story to write. IF Brommapojkarna host Hammarby FF.
A Allsvenskan meeting between IF Brommapojkarna (12th, 31 pts) and Hammarby FF (2nd, 62 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. IF Brommapojkarna will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Hammarby FF travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
A razor-thin margin: IF Brommapojkarna at 0%, but the draw sits at 0%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
IF Brommapojkarna will be looking to make home advantage count (W4 D0 L11 at home). Hammarby FF's away record reads W7 D4 L4. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Hammarby FF could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.0 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.8. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
IF Brommapojkarna create chances worth 1.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Hammarby FF create 1.8 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.7. On the quality of chances, Hammarby FF look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Hammarby FF are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.0 goals vs chance quality of 1.8). Both runs could cool off at once.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. IF Brommapojkarna average 1.3 goals per game and Hammarby FF manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Hammarby FF have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | IF Brommapojkarna Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Hammarby FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
IF Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby FF kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 13:00 in the Allsvenskan.