Match Preview · Verified Model
SK Brann vs IK Start Predictions & Odds
Draw: 19.9%
@ 4.60
Prediction: SK Brann to win
(64.2% probability)
Match Preview · Verified Model
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Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.
| Market | Our model | Bookies imply | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| SK Brann Win | 64.2% | 80.0% | -15.8pp ★ |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66.5% | 71.4% | -4.9pp |
All eyes on SK Brann as IK Start travel to face SK Brann.
A Eliteserien fixture between SK Brann and IK Start. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. SK Brann will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while IK Start travel with the same brief — find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickSK Brann to win at @1.36. Model probability 64% vs implied 74% — priced at fair value — take it for stability, not for edge.
SK Brann shade it at 64%, though IK Start won't be pushovers. If you're building an acca, Draw No Bet on SK Brann is the safer play. We're calling it 2-1.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
Don't expect a goalfest. SK Brann average 1.0 goals per game and IK Start manage 1.0. Combined that's just 2.0. Our model gives over 2.5 goals only a 67% chance. Under 2.5 is the play.
Neither defence inspires confidence. Both sides rarely keep clean sheets. Open, attacking football is on the cards.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | SK Brann Win | @1.36 | 64.2% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.60 | 19.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | IK Start Win | @7.50 | 15.9% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.40 | 66.5% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.75 | 33.5% | William Hill |
Our model makes SK Brann the favourite with a 64.2% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.
Best available odds: SK Brann @ 1.36, Draw @ 4.60, IK Start @ 7.50. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
SK Brann vs IK Start kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 16:00 in the Eliteserien.
Our top prediction is SK Brann to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance — every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.