Match Preview · Verified Model
Sandefjord vs HamKam Predictions & Odds
Draw: 26.0%
@ 3.50
Prediction: Sandefjord to win
(46.9% probability)
Match Preview · Verified Model
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Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.
| Market | Our model | Bookies imply | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord Win | 46.9% | 57.8% | -10.9pp ★ |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59.4% | 61.7% | -2.3pp |
The key duel: Sandefjord's attack against HamKam's back line.
A Eliteserien fixture between Sandefjord and HamKam. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Sandefjord will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while HamKam travel with the same brief — find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Too close to call with conviction. Sandefjord edge it at 47% but a stalemate (26%) is just as likely. Tread carefully with your stakes. We're calling it 2-1.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
Don't expect a goalfest. Sandefjord average 1.8 goals per game and HamKam manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.8. Our model gives over 2.5 goals only a 59% chance. Under 2.5 is the play.
Sandefjord live by the sword. Scoring 1.8 per game but conceding 1.4. They'll come at HamKam, but there are cracks at the back that the visitors can exploit. HamKam prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Sandefjord against this setup.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sandefjord Win | @1.85 | 46.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.50 | 26.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | HamKam Win | @3.70 | 27.1% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.62 | 59.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.15 | 40.6% | William Hill |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture — our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Sandefjord the favourite with a 46.9% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.
Best available odds: Sandefjord @ 1.85, Draw @ 3.50, HamKam @ 3.70. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Sandefjord vs HamKam kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 16:00 in the Eliteserien.
Our top prediction is Sandefjord to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance — every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.