Match Preview · Verified Model
KFUM vs Bodø/Glimt Predictions & Odds
Draw: 22.6%
@ 4.20
Prediction: Bodø/Glimt to win
(59.9% probability)
Match Preview · Verified Model
Daily Accas
Want more picks?
See today's Shots on Target, Goal Rush and Booking accas.
Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.
| Market | Our model | Bookies imply | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodø/Glimt Win | 59.9% | 73.5% | -13.6pp ★ |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63.6% | 66.7% | -3.1pp |
All eyes on KFUM as Bodø/Glimt travel to face KFUM.
A Eliteserien fixture between KFUM and Bodø/Glimt. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. KFUM will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Bodø/Glimt travel with the same brief — find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickBodø/Glimt to win at @1.44. Model probability 60% vs implied 69% — priced at fair value — take it for stability, not for edge.
We're backing Bodø/Glimt at 60%. The edge is clear but not overwhelming. Consider Draw No Bet if you want insurance in your accumulator. We're calling it 1-2.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
Don't expect a goalfest. KFUM average 1.4 goals per game and Bodø/Glimt manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.4. Our model gives over 2.5 goals only a 64% chance. Under 2.5 is the play.
Bodø/Glimt prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for KFUM against this setup.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | KFUM Win | @6.00 | 17.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.20 | 22.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Bodø/Glimt Win | @1.44 | 59.9% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.50 | 63.6% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.45 | 36.4% | William Hill |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture — our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Bodø/Glimt the favourite with a 59.9% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.
Best available odds: KFUM @ 6.00, Draw @ 4.20, Bodø/Glimt @ 1.44. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
KFUM vs Bodø/Glimt kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 13:30 in the Eliteserien.
Our top prediction is Bodø/Glimt to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance — every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.