Paraguay vs France Bet Builder Tip
⚙️ A research tool, not a bookmaker — we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
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Our Model's Picks
Tracked · part of our verified recordMore to Build With
Informational — not tracked, build your own betPlayer Form
Projected from club-season form — informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Kylian Mbappé FranceShots on Target 1+ 90%
Kylian Mbappé averages 2.03 SoT/match (31 apps) [WC form: 3.05/90 over 3 games (266 min), 39% weight → 2.42], away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 2.29, P(1+)=90% P(2+)=67%
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Kylian Mbappé FranceShots on Target 2+ 67%
Kylian Mbappé averages 2.03 SoT/match (31 apps) [WC form: 3.05/90 over 3 games (266 min), 39% weight → 2.42], away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 2.29, P(1+)=90% P(2+)=67%
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M. Almirón ParaguayShots on Target 1+ 56%
M. Almirón averages 0.74 SoT/match (31 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.82, P(1+)=56% P(2+)=20%
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G. Ávalos ParaguayShots on Target 1+ 52%
G. Ávalos averages 0.78 SoT/match (36 apps) [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (67 min), 14% weight → 0.67], home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.74, P(1+)=52% P(2+)=17%
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Kylian Mbappé FranceAnytime Scorer 49%
Kylian Mbappé on 0.81 goals/match (31 apps) [WC form: 1.35/90 over 3 games (266 min), 39% weight → 1.02], away vs opp conceding 0.50 goals/game → lambda 0.67, P(anytime scorer)=49%
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D. Gómez ParaguayTo Be Carded 39%
D. Gómez (Midfielder) on 0.28 yellows/match (32 apps) [WC form: 1.01/90 over 1 games (89 min), 17% weight → 0.41], pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.49, P(carded)=39%
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T. Hernández FranceShots on Target 1+ 37%
T. Hernández averages 0.52 SoT/match (31 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.46, P(1+)=37% P(2+)=8%
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D. Bobadilla ParaguayShots on Target 1+ 37%
D. Bobadilla averages 0.42 SoT/match (31 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.46, P(1+)=37% P(2+)=8%
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A. Cubas ParaguayTo Be Carded 37%
A. Cubas (Midfielder) on 0.46 yellows/match (28 apps) [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (90 min), 18% weight → 0.38], pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.46, P(carded)=37%
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets — they sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How is this built?
This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS) — the same markets in our verified record. Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record.
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